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今日话题|“60天期限”今天到期 伊朗接下来要干啥

www.xahq.cn2019-07-23

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Topic structure

1. Is Iran holding the British tanker? Iran: Rumors! Fabricated!

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On July 4, 2019, local time, the Iranian cruise ship was detained.

After the British Navy seized the Iranian tanker on the Strait of Gibraltar on July 4, an Iranian high official immediately threatened that Iran should also detain a British tanker. The voice just fell. On the 6th, a British tanker stopped sailing in the middle of the Persian Gulf. Then, the news that "Iran's seizure of the British tanker" was gone, and the nerves of the parties immediately tightened. On the afternoon of the 6th, the Iranian media quoted the source as saying that it denied the seizure of British tankers in the Persian Gulf and said the relevant reports were purely "fabricated." Subsequently, officials of the British Maritime Trade Organization confirmed to Reuters that there was indeed a very large tanker flying the British flag stopped in the Persian Gulf, but it is in good condition.

2. The "60-day deadline" expires today. What will Iran do next?

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Iran uranium enrichment base data map

The "60-day deadline" proposed by Iran expired on the 7th. Today, the Iranian side held a press conference to announce that starting from the 8th, Iran will break the 3.67% uranium abundance ceiling set by the Iranian nuclear agreement. Agence France-Presse quoted official sources as saying that Iran would begin a uranium enrichment activity with abundance of more than 3.67% "within a few hours." Earlier, US President Trump once shouted, "Beware of these threats, Iran. They will bite you in the opposite way, unprecedented!" And in order to circumvent US sanctions, Britain, France and Germany set up a "trade exchange support tool" settlement mechanism. It will allow the EU and Iran to continue trade. The French side said on the 4th that the settlement mechanism is expected to complete the first transaction within a few days, but the amount is limited.

3, the US media: Iran has a force to be called "the thorn in the flesh" in the Middle East

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xx伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队数据地图

最近,美国媒体发表文章说伊斯兰革命卫队是伊朗武装部队的重要组成部分,拥有伊朗军队中最具破坏性的武器:圣城军。圣城军队是一支非传统的精锐战斗部队,是整个中东伊朗军事和情报行动的先驱。文章称,为了中东的利益,圣城军队一直是美国的“刺肉”。当特朗普和罗哈尼此前相互威胁时,伊朗“圣城”将军发出警告。如果美国敢于对伊朗发动战争,我们的人员就有能力让特朗普破产。

主持人

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陆健

旅客

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翟宗泽中国国际问题研究所执行副总裁

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